Update to my 2023 blog on CCCA Complex Politics and Consequences. I’ve spent the last few weeks digging into the latest bill and I see an overstatement of potential impact that most analysts seem to have missed:
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CCCA – Durbin II – Complex Politics and Consequences
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CCCA (Credit Card Competition Act) has been a topic of late, with questions such as: will the bill pass? What will be the consequences? Who will win?
Today I’m providing a brief update on where the CCCA bill stands, and my view on industry consequences in the unlikely event that it passes (previous blog July 2022). The summary? I don’t think the bill will pass. What elected representative wants to be seen killing consumer card rewards in an election year? If CCCA does pass, it will take 6 yrs to implement and the consequences will be borne by Issuers (and consumers) with some added volatility to V/MA. V/MA win when interchange is reduced (ex EU IFR in 2015 – see blog).