Nubank Circling Monzo?

News Saturday is that Nubank is in early talks to buy Monzo for £8–10 billion. That is roughly double Monzo’s last private valuation and 115x pre-tax profit. Monzo’s board is reportedly weighing the approach against a funding round, an IPO, or a secondary sale.

This is my third post on the neobank cohort in a year. I’m a skeptic on the neobank revolution, and admittedly few people share my negativity. My recent posts are The Neobank Revolution? Not how I see it… and Challenger Banks: What the Sell-Side is Telling Us. In July I conceded I had been wrong on profitability: Nubank and Revolut have crossed into something like institutional adulthood, and Monzo has three consecutive profitable years.

Continue reading →

Challenger Banks: What the Sell-Side is Telling Us

July 2026 — Tom Noyes

Eight months ago I wrote The Neobank Revolution? Not how I see it… after sitting through FinTech NerdCon and listening to the Nubank co-founder and Chime present. My verdict was skeptical: growth is not profitability, the US addressable market is structurally unattractive, and the liabilities of every neobank combined barely register on JPMorgan’s balance sheet.

I was right about some of it. I was wrong about enough of it that this update is warranted and this time I want to ground the analysis in what sell-side analytsts are publishing, not just my own read.

Continue reading →