Stablecoins and Monetary Policy: The ECB Confirms What Italy Said Last Year

The ECB published a study today warning that stablecoins could erode retail deposits across the eurozone and undermine the effectiveness of monetary policy. The finding is notable — not because it’s new, but because it’s taken this long for the institution to officially say it.

As I related last May, Italy’s Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti made exactly this argument, warning that the displacement of traditional bank deposits by dollar-denominated stablecoins represented a direct threat to European monetary sovereignty. His remarks were largely dismissed at the time as political protectionism. The ECB’s study vindicates the concern. The mechanism is straightforward: if depositors move funds from bank accounts into stablecoins, banks lose the deposit base that anchors their lending capacity — and the ECB loses its primary transmission channel for monetary policy. Rate changes simply don’t land the same way when the money isn’t sitting in a regulated deposit account.

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Stablecoin Rewards’ Last Hope – Clarity Act

Summary

  • Clarity Act stuck in Senate on Stablecoin Rewards, 70% chance of passage this year
  • Stablecoin yield (or anything that resembles it) goes away, and rewards look more like what you have on your Visa card. Coinbase pulled out because of crypto restrictions in the bill (not stablecoin).
  • Industry will likely pivot to sweep, and Stableocin becomes just another rail, which will require consumer and merchant adoption, without the big “draw” of balance rewards. Thus, balances stay in transactional and interest-bearing accounts, and friction increases w/ stablecoin payments.
  • Politics of key players and quotes in blog today.

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R. 3633) is the last hope for Stablecoin issuers to save rewards. While the bill passed the House with a strong bipartisan vote on July 17, 2025, its progress has stalled in the Senate (as of Feb 2028) with intense disagreements regarding the regulation of stablecoin “rewards” and yield-like incentives.

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No more Stablecoin “rewards”

The OCC Just Dropped the Hammer on Stablecoin Yield: Why “Rewards” Are the New Front Line

Updated (Huge Impact to Tether and other non-US Stablecoin Issuers)

As a payments expert who has watched the “shadow banking” sector flirt with regulatory boundaries for years, today’s draft guidance from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) on the GENIUS Act implementation is my “I told you so” (60 day comment period).

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