European Payments: Android Metaphor

Over the last month, I was fortunate to interview EU banks and non-card payment schemes. The people are just fantastic, and I came away with a new appreciation of the challenges of working in a payments environment with so much “central planning”. The questions I asked myself: How best to achieve the objective of being a “digital first” economy? Centrally planned mandates? or markets with commercial incentives? When there is no margin in payments who can invest in the infrastructure (or governance)?

Europe’s payment ecosystem is shaped by the “central planning” of the ECB and the European Commission: SEPA, PSD2, PSD3 and the Payment Services Regulation (PSR), eIDAS, the Instant Payments Regulation, the digital euro and the EU Digital Identity (EUDI) wallet. I have written about this before, in Payments Innovation in Europe (2011), Building Networks and “Openness” (2011), Open Banking, Open Payments and Trust Networks (2020) and Europe’s Siege (2025). Today’s blog is focused on my new insight: how much of the cost lands on the banks, and how little room that leaves for anything else.

Thought for the day: Mandates build rails. Markets build businesses.

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Identity Success Story – itsme Belgium

This is the fourth case study I have written on inational identity efforts. The first was India’s UIDAI, which I covered in Payments and Identity, UPI continues to lead the world. The second was Norway, in BankID Norway, Evolution and Success, last month i outlined eIDAS, Top 3 Problems. Belgium’s itsme is a fantastic collaboration of banks and mobile operators in a commercial model, it may be the cleanest available proof of my rule of thumb on identity success (see Part 1 – Identity Models, Government and Governance Structures).

Summary of today’s thesis: European digital identity is succeeding at the country level, wherever commercial entities are allowed to own the governance and the economics, and it is failing at the EU and regulatory level, where neither is defined (or mandates set). Belgium is NOT a counterexample to Europe’s identity problem. In my view, Belgium represents an example model for the answer Europe is looking for.

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Wero 2026: Sovereignty at a Commercial Premium

Just left a UBS webinar from the head of product for Wero and thought it would be a good time to update my July 2025 assessment of Wero as a “solution in search of a problem,”. The biggest change in Wero is the core infrastructure has transitioned from a voluntary service to a mandated utility. However, as the European Payments Initiative (EPI) attempts to scale, the project faces a fundamental conflict between political objectives and commercial unit economics.

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The Wero Wallet: A Solution in Search of a Problem?

I’m a reluctant payment historian. Over my 30 yrs I’ve seen many payment projects come and go. The latest is the European Payment Initiative’s (EPI) new wallet, Wero. Billed as Europe’s homegrown answer to Visa and Mastercard, it carries the significant political weight of figures like ECB President Christine Lagarde, who frames it as a “march to independence”. While the political ambition is clear, I believe the business case is fundamentally flawed.

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